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Based on the point margin of each team heading into the playoffs, we would expect the Chiefs to beat the Colts 67 percent of the time at home, a slightly better win rate than if the Chiefs had to face the Chargers (55 percent) at Arrowhead Stadium. Maybe this appears unfair considering the latest win by Indianapolis. But since 2002, the year the NFL expanded to 32 teams, the road team is 21 43 (.328 win rate) in the divisional round; the win rates are slightly worse (13 30, .302) for teams that are at least five point underdogs, like Indianapolis is heading into this matchup.

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Led by head coach and play caller Sean McVay, Goff threw for nearly 5,000 yards, rendering the team virtually unstoppable, as the Rams also feature one of the league’s best rushing attacks thanks to superstar running back Todd Gurley. Anderson added another dimension to an already incredible ground attack. Anderson, who graduated from Cal in 2012 after transferring from Laney College, had a rough start to the season, getting released by both the Carolina Panthers and Oakland Raiders before exploding onto the scene for the Rams in Week 16.

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